Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.828028 80.757637 89.926091 100.013357 110.770309 121.870167 134.161364
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.813188 70.568528 84.292354 100.032767 117.467841 136.078219 157.335276
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.828220 64.725741 81.316600 100.909947 123.175639 147.470846 175.767689
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 42.630040 58.763150 77.317434 99.812958 125.952692 155.011262 189.406308
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 38.245122 55.534450 75.975206 101.304585 131.271895 165.078997 205.597718
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 34.825047 53.082947 75.221518 103.192327 136.806496 175.206330 221.714923
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 30.563412 49.156912 72.329857 102.213284 138.710523 180.937523 232.620641
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 26.259361 44.774135 68.533696 99.829094 138.679359 184.199643 240.488090
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 24.931271 44.255705 69.550074 103.335586 145.722186 195.787254 258.097318
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 23.355335 43.242573 69.810405 105.800818 151.430208 205.753709 273.791297
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 20.653876 40.391269 67.454406 104.765318 152.680917 210.274686 282.954721
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 18.221249 37.714142 65.158486 103.658083 153.721345 214.450693 291.638163
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 16.409241 35.849028 63.902568 103.883548 156.456433 220.748047 302.976094
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 14.771439 34.109226 62.716571 104.123572 159.160883 226.987480 314.251468
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 13.474685 32.796963 62.049835 104.992629 162.624629 234.136315 326.621514
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.775244 30.632324 60.008664 103.872459 163.418347 237.900353 334.812448
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.898800 29.813347 59.908437 105.400567 167.661785 245.981491 348.319326
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 10.191206 29.229120 60.118642 107.334952 172.429548 254.726141 362.663967
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.895225 27.403676 58.314968 106.331788 173.222738 258.393086 370.688748
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.445336 25.082312 55.590188 103.888512 171.987547 259.403768 375.350421
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.276101 25.347446 57.011219 107.481722 178.947634 270.947818 393.228823
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.921138 25.182845 57.711168 110.007244 184.455144 280.635709 408.804294
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.978539 23.624364 56.029457 108.946486 185.004252 283.888860 416.266037